The Ukraine-Russia war will go down as a first, a true hybrid of kinetic and cyber warfare, which will be studied for a long time and is having and will have earthshaking consequences.
"What we have today is a hybrid war that is beginning to show its influence not only on the battlefield but throughout the entire world," says Colonel Cedric Leighton, U.S. Air Force (Retired), CNN Military Analyst, and Chairman of Cedric Leighton Associates. "It's a conflict that really is frankly quite astounding in the way that it's played out."
He details the war aims of Russia, including destroying the Ukrainian government, society, population, and the country as a whole. Interestingly enough, Leighton points out that Russian President Vladimir Putin idolizes Peter the Great, who conquered a lot of territory, including much of which is present day Ukraine. He says he believes Putin misread history and is trying to apply an 18th Century solution to a 21st Century situation.
Col. Leighton has some real admiration for the Ukraine government and the host of supporters across the world—including 200,000 InfoSec practitioners aiding in Ukraine's cyber efforts—for not just battling Russia, but winning in many instances.
"They are really doing some things that are quite unique, because one of the things they've been able to exploit is the fact the Russian cyberattacks are not tied to kinetic operations," he said. "The fact they haven't been tied to kinetic operations has made it possible for Ukraine to do things like this (shows picture of a bombed-out Russian tank) where they go after pieces of Russian military equipment, individual Russian networks, and they've been able to cause some damage."
What's next? Col. Leighton believes Russia will continue attempts to destabilize critical Ukrainian IT infrastructure; Ukraine will further exploit Russian cyber vulnerabilities; and better integration of cyber and kinetic operations by both sides will occur.
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